Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.177538 0.199568 0.222645 0.248564 0.276806 0.306590 0.340318
2025-03-02 0.145879 0.175399 0.207917 0.246202 0.289844 0.337841 0.394413
2025-03-09 0.124235 0.158475 0.197874 0.246147 0.303266 0.368257 0.447333
2025-03-16 0.106826 0.143917 0.188329 0.244718 0.313657 0.394423 0.495375
2025-03-23 0.096052 0.135875 0.185262 0.249938 0.331238 0.428855 0.553620
2025-03-30 0.085051 0.126165 0.178909 0.250032 0.341788 0.454477 0.601454
2025-04-06 0.075707 0.117530 0.172934 0.249709 0.351153 0.478319 0.647228
2025-04-13 0.067813 0.109985 0.167583 0.249466 0.360078 0.501366 0.692155
2025-04-20 0.061734 0.104336 0.164205 0.251343 0.371443 0.527459 0.741260
2025-04-27 0.057927 0.101592 0.164531 0.258052 0.389219 0.562108 0.802031
2025-05-04 0.053223 0.097007 0.161789 0.260100 0.400436 0.588119 0.851845
2025-05-11 0.049324 0.093280 0.159954 0.263160 0.412913 0.615894 0.904398
2025-05-18 0.047141 0.092309 0.162432 0.272982 0.435817 0.659238 0.980094
2025-05-25 0.042280 0.086435 0.156969 0.270663 0.441173 0.678547 1.023639
2025-06-01 0.038461 0.081938 0.153293 0.270726 0.449809 0.702467 1.073906
2025-06-08 0.034731 0.077200 0.148847 0.269252 0.455947 0.722841 1.119538
2025-06-15 0.032720 0.075376 0.149012 0.274916 0.472809 0.758759 1.187561
2025-06-22 0.029911 0.071750 0.145865 0.275037 0.481129 0.782434 1.238635
2025-06-29 0.027299 0.068217 0.142593 0.274700 0.488588 0.804875 1.288244
2025-07-06 0.024950 0.064943 0.139514 0.274444 0.496030 0.827313 1.338140
2025-07-13 0.023143 0.062583 0.137885 0.276471 0.507025 0.855151 1.396280
2025-07-20 0.022183 0.061926 0.139304 0.283704 0.526470 0.895984 1.474084
2025-07-27 0.020647 0.059834 0.137889 0.285912 0.537787 0.924692 1.534466